Rates and Tech: Bitcoin, $NFLX & $AAPL | Market Hours #5

Chapters

  • 00:00 Intro: The Three Amigos

  • 01:31 GP: Are Rates Bad for Tech?

  • 03:02 GP: The 10-Year Over the Nasdaq Composite

  • 05:04 GP: Tech's Move While Rates Rose

  • 06:37 GP: Price Action Has to Confirm

  • 08:09 When Would It Top Out?

  • 09:14 Google's 20-for-1 Split

  • 13:55 Nick: Following the QQQs' Trend

  • 14:58 Nick: The QQQs' ABCD Legs

  • 15:29 Nick: A Head and Shoulders

  • 16:32 Crypto, Rates and the QQQs

  • 21:40 Ben: Bitcoin as a Leading Indicator

  • 24:12 The Dollar Rolls Over

  • 28:19 Ben: The Weekly 21 at 47,000

  • 29:19 Ben: Polkadot Follows Bitcoin

  • 31:52 Fintech and Share Prices

  • 35:26 Ben: Bitcoin's Fib Confluence

  • 38:28 TA as Social Behavior

  • 41:33 Bitcoin's Base Support

  • 44:40 Ben: Bitcoin's 42,670 Level

  • 47:12 Trading With the Trend

  • 48:44 Ben: Disney Into Earnings

  • 51:19 GP: Netflix, His Bull Market Indicator

  • 53:24 GP: Following Through on Netflix

  • 54:25 GP: Any Pullback Is a Buy

  • 55:27 Futures Open

  • 56:27 Wrap-Up

Market Hours #5 was a short Sunday TA Report with GP, Nick and Ben on February 6. GP overlaid the 10-year yield on the Nasdaq composite to argue that rising rates have not always been bad for tech. Nick followed the trend in the QQQs and mapped its ABCD legs. Ben watched Bitcoin as a leading indicator and wants its weekly 21 EMA near 47,000 broken. They also covered Google's split, the dollar, Polkadot, Bitcoin's confluence levels, TA as crowd behavior, Disney into earnings and Netflix as GP's bull market indicator.

Nick's setups, levels and trades

Nick said that on the QQQs, "if we're starting a leg higher here i've got the a the b leg here the b to c leg here and then c to d leg up here," and "i don't mind waiting for this pivot" to get taken out. He also saw a head and shoulders "which is kind of what i think is playing out." Longer term, he expects the QQQs to "set up an easy measured move" and to move fast toward 500 once 400 is taken out.

Ben's setups, levels and trades

Ben said "right now to me it just looks like it's it's a leading indicator as opposed to a lagging" one for Bitcoin, and "bitcoin has let us down so maybe it's maybe it's time that it's going to lead back up." "I'm a huge stickler on the 21 weekly," and "i want to see that 47 000 broken." "Polka dot's going to end up following bitcoin and there's a whole lot of levels overhead." On Bitcoin, "a run up to this 47 is absolutely possible and coincidentally that's where the weekly 21 ema is." On Disney into earnings, he is comfortable with it over the long term, though "if it gets down into the one teens it's it's likely not gonna hold."

GP's setups, levels and trades

GP said "i overlaid it over the nasdaq composite" using the 10-year yield, on "a weekly chart." In the earlier cycle, with rates rising, "tech took on another 100 move from here," and "the 10-year rates peak before slightly before they peaked right around here right before the nasdaq actually peaks." "Price action has to represent it otherwise this theory is busted." Asked about timing, he pointed to the "second half third quarter of this year." "Netflix is my bull market indicator," and "my general assumption is any pullback is a buy." From a false move, "potentially could come a massive fast move and you could be looking at you know netflix 1000."

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