Testing the 200-Day: $NVDA, $AMZN & $TSLA | Market Hours #56

Chapters

  • 00:00 Intro

  • 01:04 The QQQs' 21 Days Above the 200-Day

  • 02:06 GP: Short-Term Put Buyers

  • 06:14 Nick: Low Liquidity

  • 08:19 Ben: Semis and Nvidia's Divergence

  • 10:53 Retesting the Key Level

  • 12:26 Ben: Slop and Chop

  • 14:29 GP: The XBI's Shakeout

  • 15:32 Amazon and Google

  • 16:34 GP: Dr. Copper

  • 18:10 Ben: Bitcoin's Range and the DXY

  • 19:42 GP: Natural Gas

  • 20:44 The TNX

  • 21:15 Nick: The QQQs' Cup and Handle

  • 22:46 Netflix Lags the Rally

  • 24:19 The XLE and Crude Oil

  • 25:51 Wingstop and China

  • 27:54 Retail Earnings Week

  • 30:04 Costco, Amazon and the VIX

  • 32:16 Gold, Meta and Apple

  • 33:49 DoorDash and Tesla's Investor Day

  • 34:20 Small Caps and Airbnb

  • 36:27 Viewer Picks: MJ, GE, Cisco and IBM

  • 39:05 MercadoLibre

  • 40:38 eBay vs. PayPal

  • 42:14 Insight, Comfort Systems and Semis

  • 46:00 Retail Earnings to Watch

  • 47:06 More Viewer Picks

  • 49:43 Testing the Expansion Ranges

  • 50:43 Energy Names and Roku

  • 52:15 Ben: Trading Five Charts

  • 52:48 Nick: How He Sets Up His Watch Lists

  • 54:51 Global-e

  • 55:57 Ben: Bitcoin's Monthly Doji

  • 57:32 The QQQs' Monthly Candle

  • 59:07 What to Watch: Tesla, Amazon and Microsoft

  • 1:02:49 Boeing and Wrap-Up

Market Hours #56 went out live on Sunday, February 26, with Ben, Nick and GP, as the QQQs sat on the 200-day. GP blamed short-term put buyers for stalling the rally, Nick warned that low liquidity could speed up a break, and Ben laid out Nvidia's negative divergence and the QQQs' three inside weeks. The hosts also covered the XBI, copper, Bitcoin's range, the DXY, natural gas and the watch lists they trade from.

Nick's setups, levels and trades

Nick said "if the Bears continue to grab the ball from the Bulls and the Bulls don't start to show up in what seems like a reasonable manner," the people "who've been buying kind of the sideways bottom" could cause "accelerated downward momentum." "There's a lack of liquidity in general," and "some of these bars are like 5 000 shares and 5 000 Shares are causing a two two three point move." On the QQQs, "I kind of like the look of the daily like I kind of feel like it's sort of cup and handling a little bit," "wedging... right into" the 200-day and 50-day. "I'm not subscribing to the to the full-on breakdown yet," and "280 will get me nervous." On IWM, "when this pivot High gets taken out I'll be looking to get pretty heavy." He keeps "a master list" in TradeStation with about "a thousand names on it," a "focus list that I try to keep like under... two or three hundred," and "two screens designated to like basically like my top 25."

Ben's setups, levels and trades

Ben said "Nvidia is going to be at the mercy of what the rest of the semiconductors ultimately do," and "when I look at the daily I mean we've got this big nasty negative Divergence already set up and it already failed off the RSI." "I almost sold my entire position Friday but I didn't," and "I'm kind of in the wait and see camp." On the QQQs, "we're in Three inside weeks," and "we did not break that breakout candles low last week with all the negative pressure." "I'm open to a bullish thesis and I'm open to crashing through the 200," and "I think we're probably going to see some slop and some chop for a few days which might be a good trading range." For Bitcoin, "above 25 it's risk on" and below 21 it's risk off. The DXY "kind of looks like it can go a little bit higher to the 200 day which is around 106.4," which "wouldn't be great for your equities." "I've only been watching five charts and I've been trading five charts that's the Spy the QQQs Apple Tesla and Nvidia," and "it has worked very well for me for the past... six weeks or so." "There's Bitcoin potential doji on the monthly," and "I would probably be cautious." "There's the things I want to pay attention to this week is what... the retail earnings do and how Bitcoin finishes the month."

GP's setups, levels and trades

GP said "it's quite disappointing to see the Bears being able to take over," and "every time we look bullish he comes and buys puts," pointing to a billionaire's short-dated puts. "If you're looking at the moving averages they're not aligned on any of the indices so there's a lot of chop." "I have many names kind of moving potentially breaking out like mid-march early April." "It's not broken until it's broken," and the 200-day "is an area of retest." The XBI "did break the weekly 50 SMA... by 40 cents," and "quite often you'll see things break and then reverse higher the next week." Copper "went from 420 to 397," and "this is the health of the economy in my opinion it still looks decent." On natural gas, "I personally think it's going lower," and "I got out of my boil trade took a little loss."

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A Lost Decade or a Freight Train: $NVDA, $NFLX & $GOOGL | Market Hours #57

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Energy’s Distribution Pattern: $NVDA, $TSLA & Oil | Market Hours #55